Blogger linken mit jedem, Blogs sind vernetzt, alles wird zu einem großen Bloggerdorf. Dass dem nicht so ist und die Wege eines Blogs häufig auch sehr einsam sein können (wenn man Einsamkeit damit definieren täte, daß ein Blog keinen über Technorati gemessenen incoming Link von einem anderen Blogs aufweist) hat Chief Dung Analyst & Grand Pooh Pundit Chris „Denim Doc“ Mayaud auf seinem „Sacred Cow Dung“-Blog (geil, ich kann mich noch immer nicht einrenken, der Mann hat definitiv Humor) statistisch fein säuberlich auseinandergenommen. Letztlich geht es darum, die A-Blogger Liste und die Messmethode des 1 Link – 1 Votes in Frage zu stellen. Und er geht es mE gedanklich auch richtig an:
This first step is so fundamental to start to understand any market that I found the lack of any apparent effort to do so mind-blowing. All of the new indexes seem to be focused, not only on the top of the market, but on the top of the top of the market. Who the hell cares!?!? What about the rest of the curve „ where the action is might really lay?
Blind Men and the Elephant „ „Precision without Accuracy“?
Not only were people asking the wrong questions (in my mind) but their „data-rich“? analyses were coming to contradictory conclusions. This is the classic „Blind Men and the Elephant“?. If you have a hammer, you tend to use your hammer „ even if a screw-driver would be a better tool. No one is lying. In fact, they are precisely reporting their measurements of „Ears“?, „Trunks“?, „Feet“?, „Tails“? etc. „ yet we are left you „no sense of an accurate depiction“? of the whole animal.
Also, genug der Vorwort, auf zu Measuring The ACTUAL Blogosphere Part 1 – Technorati View. Aber Obacht: Etwas Statistikverständnis sollte schon vorhanden sein.
Er kommt dann zum folgenden Ergebnis:
In Summary, The Blogosphere According to Technorati
As of 10/7/05,the total number of blogs „measured“? by Technorati = 18,900,000
* Less than 450 blogs have over 1000 blogs linking to them = 0.002 %
* Less than 15,000 blogs have over 100 blogs linking to them = 0.08 %
* Less than 180,000 blogs have over 10 blogs linking to them = 1 %
* Less than 800,000 blogs have at least 1 blog linking to them = 4 %
* Over 18,000,000 blogs have 0 blogs linking to them = 95%In other words, using link analysis, Technorati can only „rank“? among the top 5% of all blogs and „ judging from their data „ their methodology starts to fall apart pretty quickly after the top 0.1%. This makes sense since the relative value of a link depends on where you are in the curve.
* For the Technorati 10, it takes thousands of links to move one place in rank.
* For the Technorati 100, it take hundreds of links to move one place in rank
* At 50,000, one link is worth over 2,000
* and your first link is worth over 18 million.
Ich freue mich schon auf seinen nächsten Teil: Measuring The ACTUAL Blogosphere Part 2 „ Google View
